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Nvidia Weekly Forecast: Record Earnings Dented by Hot PPI Data

Nakayenga Patricia Renee by Nakayenga Patricia Renee
February 28, 2026
in News, Tech
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Nvidia Weekly Forecast
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Nvidia Weekly Forecast shows a market leader caught between powerful fundamentals and growing macro pressure. Despite record-breaking earnings, NVDA slipped 5% last week after hotter-than-expected U.S. producer price data rattled investors and triggered broader tech-sector volatility.

The pullback highlights a key reality. Even companies driving the AI revolution remain sensitive to inflation data, bond yields, and Federal Reserve expectations.

Nvidia Weekly Forecast: Two distinct phases

The Nvidia Weekly Forecast reflects two sharply different halves of the week. In the early sessions, shares climbed steadily following a strong quarterly earnings report. Nvidia posted record revenue of $68.1 billion for the quarter, up 20% sequentially and 73% year over year. Full-year revenue reached $215.9 billion, marking 65% annual growth.

Investor optimism surged as AI demand continued expanding across enterprise and hyperscaler markets.

However, sentiment shifted after the release of U.S. Producer Price Index data. Core PPI came in above expectations, fueling concerns that inflation remains sticky. That reduced hopes for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts and pushed Treasury yields higher.

As yields climbed, risk assets sold off. Technology stocks bore the brunt of the move, and Nvidia gave up earlier gains. By week’s end, NVDA closed around $177, reflecting a net 5% decline.

Nvidia Weekly Forecast: Correction, not weakness

The Nvidia Weekly Forecast does not suggest structural weakness. Instead, the recent pullback reflects macro uncertainty and elevated expectations.

CEO Jensen Huang emphasized accelerating enterprise adoption of AI agents and continued investment in AI computing infrastructure. Demand for advanced computing power remains strong, driven by data center expansion and the broader AI industrial transformation.

The recent decline appears to be a healthy correction within a broader uptrend rather than a breakdown in fundamentals.

Nvidia Weekly Forecast: Key technical levels

From a technical perspective, the Nvidia Weekly Forecast centers on critical support and resistance zones.

A bullish scenario requires NVDA to hold support in the $172 to $175 range. If buyers defend this area, a rebound toward $185 to $190 becomes possible. Stabilization in Nasdaq and easing bond yields could serve as catalysts.

A decisive move above $190 may open the door for a retest of recent highs.

If upside momentum stalls, consolidation between $170 and $182 could develop. Such a range would allow the stock to build strength before its next directional move.

On the downside, continued macro pressure or escalating export restrictions involving China could push NVDA below $170. A break of that level may expose the $162 to $165 zone near the 50-day moving average. Extended weakness could test $155 if selling intensifies.

Nvidia Weekly Forecast: Macro and capex risks

The Nvidia Weekly Forecast also depends heavily on external factors.

Rising Treasury yields increase the cost of capital and weigh on high-growth equities. Inflation data will remain a key driver of sentiment.

Equally important are capital expenditure plans from Nvidia’s largest customers, including hyperscalers and cloud providers. Continued investment in data centers and AI infrastructure would reinforce the long-term growth narrative.

Conversely, any signs of reduced capex could amplify volatility given the market’s high expectations for the AI supercycle.

Outlook for the week ahead

The Nvidia Weekly Forecast suggests continued volatility but maintains a constructive long-term view. As long as key support levels hold and AI demand remains robust, pullbacks may represent consolidation rather than reversal.

Investors will closely monitor inflation data, bond yields, and broader Nasdaq momentum. If macro headwinds ease, Nvidia could quickly regain upward traction.

For now, NVDA remains a high-growth AI leader navigating short-term macro turbulence.

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